National Incident Declared After Traces of Polio Found in London Sewage

    Image copyright: Getty Images [via The Guardian]

    The Spin


    Pro-establishment narrative

    This is nothing to worry about. Relevant agencies are in possession of "world-beating" tools to locate the origin of the virus, the UK has a high vaccination rate against polio, and the NHS will be following up with the parents of children who are not yet fully immunized.


    Establishment-critical narrative

    The fact that polio can even get a toehold in a country with a healthcare system as advanced as the UK's raises urgent questions about the state of public health in the country. The danger of the sometimes fatal disease has been forgotten, and uptake of the polio vaccine has declined since Britain was declared free of it in 2003.


    Metaculus Prediction


    Establishment split

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