Recession Fears: US Economy Shrinks for Second Consecutive Quarter

    Image copyright: Getty Images [via NBC News]

    The Spin


    Republican narrative

    Just a few days ago Biden said we wouldn't face a recession, but he can't hide from his own Commerce Dept.'s report. The White House is scrambling to spin the concept of what a recession means, but the American people – whose lives have been severely impacted by the current state of the economy – literally aren't buying it.


    Democratic narrative

    The two-quarter-declining GDP rule is misleading. While GDP makes up a portion of the NBER's deliberations, the committee takes into account other indicators when determining a recession - which hasn't actually been announced. With the current job market, the Biden admin. and the NBER are right to not induce panic: things aren't as bad as some people claim.


    Metaculus Prediction


    Political split

    LEFT

    RIGHT

    More neutral political stance articles

    Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters
    Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters

    Sign Up!
    Sign Up Now!