OPEC+ Makes Smallest Oil Output Increase in its History

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    The Spin

    Pro-establishment narrative

    The ambition of the Biden administration is to make oil supply meet oil demand. In fact, the price of barrels of oil has come down. Earlier this summer the price was about $120/barrel and now it's hovering around $95/barrel. We've seen the fastest decline in gas prices in over a decade. The US policy efforts are on the right track.

    Establishment-critical narrative

    This minuscule increase in OPEC+ production is a betrayal of Biden's efforts to bolster US energy security. At an equivalent blip of 86 seconds of total global oil demand, this gesture shows that recent US efforts in the Middle East were fruitless. Saudi Arabia and the oil cartels hold all the cards in the energy poker game.

    Metaculus Prediction


    Establishment split

    CRITICAL

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