Musk Sells Tesla Shares for $6.9B

Image copyright: AFP/Getty Images [via The Guardian]

The Spin


Narrative A

The Twitter legal team's actions are inexplicable. After failing to include damages to shareholders in the original $44B deal, they're now seeking to force Musk to complete the purchase even though this could further harm the company. Their lawsuit is likely to fail and the court may impose a fee lower than the $1B breakup fee.


Narrative B

Musk's lawyers may ultimately be able to avoid his having to close on the $44B deal, but there's no way Twitter will lose this lawsuit. These are business-savvy parties, and neither would have agreed to a specific performance provision without meaning it. The same applies to the $1B breakup fee, which admittedly doesn't reflect the full damages to the shareholders.


Metaculus Prediction


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