Japan: Former PM Shinzo Abe Fatally Shot at Campaign Event

    Image copyright: Getty Images [via The New York Times]

    The Spin

    Pro-establishment narrative

    Abe, a world statesman, devoted himself to Japan and its people for years. This event is a great shock and tragedy – particularly in one of the world's safest countries where gun laws are extremely strict.

    Establishment-critical narrative

    Though nothing justifies this tragedy, Abe, despite being widely respected, came under increased criticism for his handling of COVID and the economic slump that followed. He also became a more controversial figure as he pushed to revise Japan's pacifist constitution, a contentious subject.

    Metaculus Prediction


    Establishment split

    CRITICAL

    PRO

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