​Iran Launches Satellite as Nuclear Talks Set to Restart

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    The Spin


    Republican narrative

    The Biden administration is threatening the stability in the Middle East achieved under Trump as it seeks to restore the Iran nuclear deal. Salvaging this insane pact doesn't ensure Tehran will stick to it and might cause US allies to lose confidence in the White House.


    Democratic narrative

    If Iran is now in a position to make demands it's because Trump withdrew from the 2015 Iran nuclear deal, allowing Tehran to develop its nuclear program and damaging the US' ability to negotiate. The Biden administration faces a difficult situation and restoring the deal is the best of the bad options they face.


    Metaculus Prediction


    Go Deeper


    Political split

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    RIGHT

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