Iran Claims Ability to Produce Nuclear Bomb

Image copyright: AFP [via Defense Post]

The Spin


Establishment-critical narrative

While Iran has the technology needed to produce a nuclear bomb, Tehran remains committed to reviving the 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action. It's Washington's failure to guarantee it won't withdraw once again from this diplomatic solution that has been blocking the deal.


Pro-establishment narrative

Iran is making reckless claims out of desperation, fearing the US will support Israel and Saudi Arabia, and back out of efforts to restore Iranian nuclear talks. Although Tehran may be able to enrich uranium to military grade and in quantities to produce a bomb, it can't produce other essential parts for a nuclear weapon. This is just saber rattling.


Metaculus Prediction


Go Deeper


Establishment split

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