GOP Rep. Who Voted to Impeach Trump Advances in Wash. Primary

    Image copyright: AP [via The Guardian]

    The Spin

    Democratic narrative

    Newhouse's victory is a solid mark in the loss column for Trump. Even if Newhouse ultimately loses to his Democrat opponent, this is still a good sign for the left, as it shows Trump's influence on the GOP may have diminished. This vote shows that Trump is not necessarily the sole kingmaker of the GOP.

    Pro-Trump narrative

    In a race that tested the political fortunes of those who voted to impeach Trump, Newhouse has just barely survived. Despite his win, Newhouse's victory is a rare sight for those who chose impeachment, with Trump's robust influence still strong in the GOP.

    Metaculus Prediction


    Establishment split

    CRITICAL

    PRO

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