FED Raises Rates: Biggest Hike Since 2000

    Image copyright: Getty Images [via Business Insider]

    The Spin

    Establishment-critical narrative

    The Fed's goal to dampen inflation without inducing a recession - known as a "soft-landing" - is a pipe dream. The central bank waited too long to start cooling inflation and is now overcompensating, which runs the risk of slowing the economy so much that it shrinks.

    Pro-establishment narrative

    There is broad consensus among Fed bankers and economists that it's time for some quantitative tightening to rein in inflation, and the market is breathing a sigh of relief after the latest announcement. While the process of bringing down inflation is not pain-free, the economy is strong and a recession isn't likely.

    Metaculus Prediction


    Establishment split

    CRITICAL

    PRO

    More neutral establishment stance articles

    Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters
    Sign Up for Our Free Newsletters

    Sign Up!
    Sign Up Now!