EU Proposes Significant Concession to Iran to Revive Nuclear Deal

    Image copyright: Laurence Norman/Wall Street Journal

    The Spin


    Narrative A

    The revival of the 2015 nuclear pact is a key foreign-policy goal for the Biden administration. However, Washington wants to see the IAEA investigation resolved, and the only way for that to happen is for Iran to provide the agency with the critical information they need.


    Narrative B

    It's in the interest of all stakeholders that the Iranian nuclear deal can be reached. A deal would bring Iranian oil back to the global economy, burdened by high energy prices. Tehran, in its turn, would want the removal of constricting sanctions, finally re-engaging Iran within the international community.


    Metaculus Prediction


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