The Facts
- On Thursday, the San Salvador civil protection agency said that at least seven people had been killed in landslides caused by heavy rains. In the municipality of Huizucar, two adults and three children were killed when their home was buried.
- In Panchimalco, 11 miles south of the capital city of San Salvador, two people were rescued but later died at the hospital.
- Authorities had declared an alert for 29 coastal municipalities and all municipalities in the San Miguel area in the eastern region of the country. Residents were advised to evacuate quickly as heavy rains drenched the region.
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The Spin
Narrative A
Climate change is already worsening the ongoing humanitarian crisis in Central America. Research links back-to-back hurricanes in 2020 to a changing climate, and 1.5M people were displaced as a result. El Salvador is one of 19 countries most at risk for worsening humanitarian conditions by year's end, and climate change-catalyzed disasters are playing a central role.
Narrative B
While climate change is a factor, it must be remembered that nearly half of the population in Central America lives in poverty. When a hurricane strikes, there is very little funding available for disaster response and recovery. Recent US policies that restrict immigration and slash agricultural aid have made the issues worse. The underlying material conditions for Central America's most vulnerable people must be remembered as a root cause of the humanitarian crisis.
Metaculus Prediction
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