Day 162 Roundup: UN to Investigate Blast That Killed Ukrainian POWs; US Senate Backs Finland and Sweden's NATO Bids

    Image copyright: AP Photos [via AP News]

    The Spin


    Pro-establishment narrative

    Putin has sorely miscalculated with this invasion. Western nations have shown exceptional resilience and solidarity in response to Russia's assault on democracy and the geopolitical power balance in Europe. It is very unlikely the Kremlin will retaliate against Finland and Sweden joining NATO, especially as it's reckless attack on Ukraine has decimated its military resources.


    Establishment-critical narrative

    Sweden and Finland's decision to join NATO wouldn't be without risks. Despite the rapid evolution of public opinion there isn't clear majority support for the move in either nation and even an immediate application could take months to process, leaving them vulnerable to a strike by an enraged Vladimir Putin.


    Metaculus Prediction


    Public Figures


    Establishment split

    CRITICAL

    PRO

    More neutral establishment stance articles

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