Day 223 Roundup: Ukraine Launches Attacks on Luhansk; Russian Lawmakers Ratify Annexation of Four Regions

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The Spin


Anti-Russia narrative

Ukrainian forces advancing through Kharkiv into the Luhansk region are destroying Russia's most elite and valuable troops, all while the Kremlin continues struggling to train and equip new personnel effectively. The gains from this counter-offensive could mark a turning point in favor of Ukraine.


Pro-Russia narrative

Russian forces are holding the line against Ukrainian counterattacks, coming at an exceptionally high cost to manpower and military equipment for Ukraine's army. These losses are not sustainable, and Russia will continue to secure newly annexed regions and defend its populations.


Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

More neutral establishment stance articles

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