Day 188 Roundup: Ukraine Claims Breakthrough in Kherson; IAEA Inspectors in Kyiv

Image copyright: AP Photos [via AP News]

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

It's unclear how far Ukrainian forces might have pushed, but all signs indicate that the long-awaited southern counteroffensive has successfully started, particularly in the region of Kherson. Any offensive action is good news for Kyiv and, with luck, this is part of a wider counteroffensive that will shift the momentum of the war in Kyiv's favor.

Pro-Russia narrative

Reports of a successful Kherson counteroffensive are false. Moscow's forces were activated in Tavrichesky, but all Ukrainian attackers who failed to surrender were eliminated and the area is now back under Russian control. Kherson has been severed from Kyiv and life is gradually returning to normal under a Russian economic and legal framework.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

More neutral establishment stance articles

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