Day 134 Roundup: Putin Warns War is Yet to Start "in Earnest"; Reports of Russian Operational Pause

Image copyright: AP Photos [via AP News]

The Spin


Pro-establishment narrative

As the war shifts to the strategically important Donbas region of Donetsk, the US and its allies need to continue to do everything in their power to arm Ukraine with all the weapons they need. Doing so is the only way to push Putin's forces back as was done in Kyiv.


Pro-Russia narrative

As stated by Putin, the whole purpose of the war was never to invade Kyiv, but to liberate the ethnically Russian people of Donetsk and Luhansk, who have been subjected to systematic killing by Ukrainian forces for not recognizing the 2014 coup in Kyiv.


Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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