Day 39: Mass Graves Reportedly Discovered in Bucha, Russia Refocuses Strategy on Donbas & East

    Day 39: Mass Graves Reportedly Discovered in Bucha, Russia Refocuses Strategy on Donbas & East
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    The Facts

    • Russian troops are reportedly completing their withdrawal from the greater Kyiv area, with Ukraine retaking several surrounding towns and suburbs over the weekend. The withdrawal has reportedly revealed more horrors of the war.

    • In Bucha, to the northwest of the capital, reports of mass graves and bodies littering the streets have sparked calls for the International Criminal Court to investigate possible Russian war crimes. Russia denies killing civilians.


    The Spin

    Anti-Russia narrative

    This invasion is an egregious violation of international law. Putin's ultimate aim is to restore the Soviet empire, even if it takes massive bloodshed and false pretexts such as calling the 2014 Ukrainian revolution after a fraudulent election a "coup". This unprovoked attack is the latest chapter in Putin's Orwellian attempt to re-write history.

    Pro-Russia narrative

    NATO and the US have ignored Russia's security concerns by breaking its promise not to expand eastward in return for German reunification. These concerns are legitimate and taking them seriously would have avoided the Ukraine tragedy.


    Metaculus Prediction


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