Left narrative

The Luxon-led coalition prioritizes billions in tax cuts for landlords and fossil fuel subsidies over protecting New Zealanders and the environment. Rural communities suffer from undrinkable tap water due to dairy pollution, while the government enables more expansion and corporate handouts. This anti-nature, anti-democracy government serves big corporations instead of working people and must be replaced.

Right narrative

ACT has proven it can shrink government waste, cut red tape and deliver better taxpayer value while driving necessary conversations about national identity. The party provides protection against the Labour-Green-Māori threat while pushing for faster action to tackle bureaucracy that holds back ambitious New Zealanders. New Zealand's pioneering spirit demands freedom from identity politics and regulatory burdens that hurt everyday battlers most.

Pro-government narrative

The assassination of Shinzo Abe was an unprecedented, premeditated murder that deserves the harshest punishment. Yamagami spent years meticulously crafting weapons and planning this attack, demonstrating clear criminal intent that resulted in extremely serious consequences for Japanese society. This calculated killing of the nation's longest-serving leader represents the most significant postwar crime and demands life imprisonment.

Government-critical narrative

Yamagami's tragic upbringing, marked by religious abuse and family devastation caused by the Unification Church, created circumstances demanding judicial consideration. His mother's ruinous donations bankrupted the family, forcing him to abandon education and ultimately leading to his brother's suicide and his own suicide attempt. The assassination exposed corrupt ties between the church and ruling party politicians, vindicating his desperate attempt to draw attention to institutional wrongdoing.

Narrative C

Yamagami's assassination, regardless of motive, represents a catastrophic failure of democratic discourse. His resort to murder to address grievances — however legitimate — undermines the rule of law and sets a dangerous precedent that political violence can achieve results. The extensive media attention and policy changes following the killing risk incentivizing future extremists who believe their causes justify deadly force, threatening Japan's peaceful democratic tradition.

Nerd narrative

There's a 50% chance that the LDP will lose its status as the largest party in the House of Representatives of Japan by July 2042, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Pro-government narrative

Preliminary assessment suggests this tragic incident, which comes so soon after passengers lost their lives in a separate collision, was down to the unforeseen effects of extreme weather. Scheduled services were suspended following the derailment, while emergency agencies did all in their power to respond. Naturally, a full investigation will follow.

Government-critical narrative

This repeat incident reveals the fatal consequences of failing socialist governance and long-term corruption. Spain is falling apart, with the money that should be spent on infrastructure funding governments abroad while Spaniards warnings were ignored. This spells the end of the current administration.

Nerd narrative

There's a 10% chance that Spain will recognize Catalonia by 2070, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Pro-government narrative

Damiba's extradition marks a crucial step in holding corrupt leaders accountable after he orchestrated a coup plot against Burkina Faso's government. The former junta leader, who failed to stop militant violence during his brief rule, now faces serious charges including embezzlement, corruption and money laundering. Togo's cooperation in arresting and returning Damiba demonstrates a regional commitment to combating destabilization efforts.

Government-critical narrative

Damiba's extradition comes as Burkinabé authorities fabricated yet another coup narrative, one that once again strains credibility. It fits a pattern of dramatic plots announced every few months without trials or convictions ever following. Disinformation is pervasive in Burkina Faso, where Traoré's team routinely amplifies rumors to mobilize public support. After so many false alarms, the regime's warnings ring hollow and even domestic backing shows growing fatigue.

Nerd narrative

There is a 20% chance that Togo will experience a successful coup d'état before 2040, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Techno-skeptic narrative

The AI industry's unprecedented $717 billion investment over three years signifies an unsustainable bubble destined for a catastrophic collapse. With infrastructure spending vastly outpacing actual end-user revenue and multiple tech giants each burning hundreds of billions of dollars in pursuit of the same monopoly, most players face inevitable write-offs that will devastate equity investors and potentially crash the broader economy.

Pro-establishment narrative

Human-centric AI is the future of the industry, as proven by Humans& raising $480 million just three months after launch. Building AI that amplifies rather than replaces workers addresses real collaboration needs that autonomous systems ignore, attracting backing from tech giants and visionaries who understand complementary human-machine partnerships create far more value than replacement-focused approaches.

Nerd narrative

There's a 50% chance that the first weakly general AI system will be devised, tested, and publicly announced by November 2027, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Pro-Trump narrative

Trump’s Davos speech makes the strategic case for Greenland unmistakable. By seeking “immediate negotiations” while ruling out force, he reassured allies that the U.S. approach is political and economic, not coercive. He put to rest fears that the U.S. intends to divide the world into spheres of influence, showing instead that it is defending a unipolar, Western-led order against China and Russia. Even NATO chief Mark Rutte acknowledged that Trump’s leadership in the Arctic strengthens the West and protects Europe. A NATO Greenland framework shows Trump’s strategy in action.

Anti-Trump narrative

Trump’s Davos speech laid bare the U.S. under his leadership as erratic, coercive and hostile to allies. European leaders spent the session frozen in polite disbelief, as he threatened Greenland, tariffs and NATO commitments, turning diplomacy into a spectacle. France, Germany and Canada are now pushing for greater sovereignty, economic resilience and multilateral coordination to resist U.S. bullying — showing that the West must act together to preserve rules, stability and credibility in a world Trump seeks to unilaterally dominate. Step one freezing the U.S.-EU trade deal.

Nerd narrative

There is a 19% chance Greenland will become independent before 2035, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Pro-Trump narrative

Federal authorities are rightfully investigating Minnesota officials who've actively obstructed lawful immigration enforcement operations targeting dangerous criminals. These Democratic leaders have incited chaos and protected illegal immigrants convicted of serious crimes including murder and child sexual abuse, turning their state into a sanctuary for criminals while federal officers work to make communities safer.

Anti-Trump narrative

The Trump administration is weaponizing the Justice Department to intimidate Minnesota leaders who dare challenge illegal federal actions. Instead of investigating the killing of Renee Good by federal agents, the administration targets officials doing their jobs and protecting constitutional rights while federal officers racially profile citizens and conduct an unprecedented invasion.

Nerd narrative

There is a 49% chance that the U.S. will establish a government program rewarding information leading to deportations before Jan. 3, 2027, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Pro-Trump narrative

Trump's brilliant strategy uses Delcy Rodriguez as a puppet to do the dirty work of dismantling the Chavista regime from within, without boots on the ground or nation-building chaos, while preventing the Machado-led opposition from facing dangerous establishment resistance that could create a failed state in Venezuela. Trump wants Venezuela to be a democracy, but first he must force corrupt insiders to purge their own ranks and clear the path for real democracy.

Anti-Trump narrative

Trump only wants oil access and geopolitical leverage, not democratic renewal, so Machado faces a serious risk of being sidelined as the U.S. and Maduro loyalists reach deals without opposition involvement. It's urgent for the opposition to mobilize mass protests with achievable goals, emancipate itself from U.S. interests and form an international bloc with other democratic countries. Otherwise, the Chavista will continue in power in Venezuela.

Pro-Maduro narrative

Rodríguez has reasserted Venezuela's sovereignty, confronting U.S. aggression while preserving national stability. As opposition figures chase foreign patrons and stage legitimacy, the Bolivarian government governs, protects strategic resources and defends peace — proving that Venezuela's future is decided in Caracas, not in U.S. backrooms.

Nerd narrative

There's a 14.6% chance that Venezuela will announce a presidential election before April 1, 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

Republican narrative

Maine's sanctuary city policies directly enabled thousands of criminals to evade justice, so now it's up to this federal immigration operation to clean up the state. Democrats created this crisis by blocking local cooperation with federal authorities, forcing increased federal presence that could have been avoided.

Democratic narrative

This operation is unconstitutionally targeting an entire community based on race and religion with unnecessary violent street sweeps that strip innocent people of dignity and civil liberties. This administration is deploying agents to blue cities, revealing this operation prioritizes political theater over legitimate enforcement.

Nerd narrative

There's a 49% chance that the United States will establish a government program rewarding information leading to deportations before Jan. 3, 2027, according to the Metaculus prediction community.