17 June 2025

Daily Newsletter

Judge Rules Trump NIH Grant Cuts Illegal, Orders Restoration

The Facts

  • U.S. District Judge William Young in Boston ruled Monday that the Trump administration unlawfully canceled over $1 billion in National Institutes of Health (NIH) grants, calling the cuts arbitrary and tied to diversity, equity, and inclusion (DEI) concerns. He ordered the terminations voided and many of the grants to be reinstated.

  • Young, appointed by Republican President Ronald Reagan, accused the government of racial discrimination and discrimination against America's LGBTQ+ community, stating he had never seen government racial discrimination like this in his 40 years on the bench.

  • Since January, the NIH has cut approximately 2,100 research grants worth $9.5 billion, along with $2.6 billion in contracts, according to a protest letter signed by dozens of NIH staff.


The Spin

Republican narrative

This ruling represents further judicial overreach by an activist judge who prioritizes woke ideology over constitutional governance. The Trump administration rightfully ended taxpayer funding for politically motivated research that advances divisive DEI agendas rather than legitimate scientific inquiry. These cuts were necessary to redirect resources toward research that benefits all Americans instead of promoting discriminatory programs based on race and gender identity.

Democratic narrative

Young's decision correctly identifies blatant discrimination against vulnerable communities whose health research was systematically targeted for elimination. The administration's arbitrary cuts to billions in critical medical research — including studies on cancer, HIV, and maternal health — represent an unprecedented assault on scientific integrity and public health. This ruling protects essential research that saves lives and advances medical knowledge for marginalized populations.

Nerd narrative

There's a 5% chance that the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services will declare a public health emergency for H5 avian influenza before Jan. 1, 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

See sources

UN: 5 Nations Face Famine Risk Amid Funding Cuts

The Facts

  • The United Nations Food and Agriculture Organization and the World Food Programme released a joint report on Monday, identifying Sudan, Palestine, South Sudan, Haiti, and Mali as facing an immediate risk of famine, with communities already experiencing or at risk of catastrophic levels of food insecurity. The report blamed conflict, economic shocks, and climate-related hazards for driving extreme hunger conditions that could lead to starvation and death without urgent humanitarian intervention.

  • In Gaza, the entire population of 2.1 million people faces crisis levels of food insecurity according to the report, with nearly 500,000 projected to face catastrophic conditions by September. Sudan has maintained a confirmed famine status since 2024, with almost 25 million people at risk, while South Sudan is expected to see 7.7 million people in crisis, with 63,000 facing famine-like conditions.

  • The U.N. Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs announced Monday it was forced to scale back global aid plans from $44 billion to $29 billion due to what officials called the "deepest funding cuts ever," with only $5.6 billion received by mid-year. The Trump administration's decision to slash foreign aid contributions has led the U.N. refugee agency to terminate 3,500 jobs and reduce workforce costs by 30%.


The Spin

Narrative A

Brutal funding cuts are creating a humanitarian catastrophe that will cost millions of lives across the globe's most vulnerable populations. The international community is abandoning its moral obligation to prevent mass starvation and suffering in conflict zones where people have no other lifeline. These cuts represent a failure of global solidarity when it's needed most.

Narrative B

The funding crisis stems from the lack of global fiscal responsibility, as large donor nations face their own economic challenges and must prioritize domestic needs. Trump's foreign aid cuts reflect America First policies that ensure taxpayer money addresses urgent problems at home rather than funding inefficient international bureaucracies.

Nerd narrative

There's a 15% chance that fewer than 375 million people will be in extreme poverty by 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

See sources

Report: Social Media Overtakes TV as Top US News Source

The Facts

  • According to Oxford's Reuters Institute for the Study of Journalism's 2025 Digital News Report, social media and video networks have now become the primary news source for Americans, with 54% accessing news through platforms like Facebook, YouTube, and TikTok, surpassing television at 50% and news websites at 48%.

  • As social media consumption increases, the report describes a continued "fragmentation" in platform choice. Six networks now reach over 10% of users in 12 selected countries, including the U.S. and U.K. (Facebook, YouTube, Instagram, WhatsApp, X, TikTok), compared to only two a decade ago.

  • The report found local television and newspapers to be America's most trusted national news sources, with the BBC the most trusted international brand. Podcaster Joe Rogan emerged as the most influential news personality in the U.S., reaching 22% of Americans, followed by Tucker Carlson and Megyn Kelly (both at14%).


The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

Traditional media remains vital in today’s landscape. While digital platforms offer speed and engagement, legacy outlets still provide depth, credibility, and editorial standards that social media lacks. As misinformation spreads online, trusted institutions are more important than ever. The future of journalism must innovate in a new era while protecting the core principles of democracy's fourth pillar.

Establishment-critical narrative

The decline of traditional media is a long-overdue reckoning. Legacy news lost its way, trading truth and accountability for clicks, access, and influence. But in a new digital age, independent voices have stepped up. With real journalism no longer restricted by corporate interests and veiled ideologies, we're finally witnessing an information revolution that serves the people.

Nerd narrative

There is a 50% chance that a currently unknown social media app will reach one billion downloads worldwide, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

See sources

Uganda's President Signs Law Allowing Military Trials for Civilians

The Facts

  • Ugandan President Yoweri Museveni signed the Uganda Peoples' Defence Forces (Amendment) Act, 2025, into law on Monday, allowing military tribunals to try civilians under certain circumstances.

  • The legislation permits civilians to be tried in military courts if they are found in possession of military equipment, guns, army uniforms, or ammunition. It comes as a previous law allowing such trials was ruled unconstitutional by the Supreme Court in January.

  • The parliament passed the amendment in May, with 197 ruling National Resistance Movement party members voting in favor, while opposition lawmakers boycotted the session, arguing that the bill violated the Supreme Court's constitutional ruling.


The Spin

Pro-government narrative

This law is crucial for national security and addressing armed criminals who pose a threat to Uganda's stability. Military courts are necessary because civilian courts are too busy to handle gun-wielding criminals quickly, and the amendment addresses previous concerns by requiring legal qualifications for tribunal judges.

Government-critical narrative

The law directly contravenes the Supreme Court's constitutional ruling and serves as another means of silencing political dissent. Military courts often lack impartiality and competence, resulting in civilians facing harsher penalties and prolonged detention without proper judicial oversight.

See sources

OpenAI Wins $200M Pentagon Contract for AI Defense Tools

The Facts

  • OpenAI has been awarded a $200 million contract with the U.S. Department of Defense to assist the Pentagon in determining how it can utilize artificial intelligence for various administrative and security tasks. This is the company's first official defense contract.

  • In a blog post on Monday, OpenAI announced that the contract marks the launch of OpenAI for Government, a new initiative consolidating the company's existing government collaborations, including partnerships with NASA, the National Institutes of Health, the Air Force Research Laboratory, and the U.S. Department of the Treasury, under one umbrella.

  • In a statement, the Pentagon announced that OpenAI will develop prototype frontier AI capabilities for "national security challenges in both warfighting and enterprise domains," with the work primarily being performed in the National Capital Region through July 2026.


The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

This partnership represents a smart national security policy that leverages American AI leadership for defense purposes. OpenAI's technology can streamline military health care, improve cyber defenses, and enhance administrative efficiency while maintaining strict usage guidelines. The company's shift from blanket military restrictions to nuanced policies reflects a mature approach to AI's role in protecting democratic values.

Establishment-critical narrative

OpenAI's military contract raises serious concerns about the weaponization of AI technology and represents a troubling policy reversal. The company quietly removed military restrictions last year and now profits from defense contracts while downplaying warfighting applications. This shift prioritizes revenue over ethical AI development, potentially accelerating an arms race in autonomous weapons systems.

Nerd narrative

There's a 2.5% chance that OpenAI, Google DeepMind, or Anthropic will announce that they are pausing all training runs above a certain size for safety reasons before 2026, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

See sources

Kenya: Deputy Police Chief Steps Aside Pending Probe Into Death of Government Critic

The Facts

  • Kenya's Deputy Inspector General Eliud Lagat announced in a statement on Monday that he was stepping aside from his position pending the conclusion of investigations into the death of government critic Albert Ojwang while in police custody.

  • This decision, according to Lagat, intends to allow an impartial probe into the incident as he would have no access to his office and his deputy would perform his duties. However, some legal experts argue that his move has no legal consequences and that he could return to the office whenever he wants.

  • This comes as the death of Ojwang has put Lagat, one of the highest-ranking police officers in Kenya, in the spotlight, with calls from senior figures and protesters for him to resign, as well as for him to be arrested and prosecuted.


The Spin

Pro-government narrative

Lagat has stepped aside to show his commitment to the rule of law and try to appease politically motivated calls for him to resign. There's nothing linking him to what happened to Ojwang, except for his lawful exercise of a constitutional right to file a defamation complaint against the individual who died while in police custody.

Government-critical narrative

Stepping aside is a hollow theatrical gesture designed to calm public anger without real accountability. Lagat will continue in the shadows of power while under suspicion for a heinous crime, in a mockery of justice and the Constitution, unless he resigns outright.

Nerd narrative

There's an 8% chance that Kenya will experience a civil war before 2036, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

See sources

Trump Threatens Iran's Supreme Leader, Urges Unconditional Surrender

The Facts

  • U.S. President Donald Trump took to Truth Social on Tuesday to warn Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei against shooting missiles at U.S. citizens as Trump said the U.S. knows where he is hiding — but that Khamenei would be "safe there," at least "for now" — and to call for the unconditional surrender of Iran.

  • The posts came as Trump was meeting with top officials in the Situation Room to discuss the Israel-Iran conflict after his early return from the G7 summit in Canada to focus on the war that is now in its fifth day.

  • This also comes as the U.S. president reportedly vetoed an Israeli plan to assassinate the ayatollah over the weekend. However, Trump said on Truth Social that "patience is wearing thin" and claimed that the U.S. has "complete and total control of the skies over Iran."


The Spin

Establishment-critical narrative

As Netanyahu pushes for the killing of another rival leader in the Middle East — now Iran's Ali Khamenei — to force a regime change with the support of warmongers in the U.S., one can only hope that Trump's threats are merely rhetorical and that he will make good on his promises not to start wars, especially one that is Iraq 2.0. Americans have long had enough of Israeli-catalyzed wars.

Pro-establishment narrative

Iran cannot have uranium enrichment, period. Either Khamenei agrees to the easy way and surrenders, or the U.S. will have no option other than to take action. As the Trump administration is well aware of the consequences of foreign entanglement over the past decades, Americans may rest assured that the U.S. will do only what is needed for peace and stability to prevail there.

Nerd narrative

There's a 76% chance that Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, will make a public appearance in Iran before July 14, 2025, according to the Metaculus prediction community,

See sources

Georgia Woman Delivers Baby After Months on Life Support

The Facts

  • Adriana Smith, 31, who was declared brain-dead in February while eight weeks pregnant, delivered a premature baby boy named Chance via emergency cesarean section on Friday. The baby weighs 1 pound 13 ounces and is currently in the neonatal intensive care unit at Emory University Hospital in Georgia.

  • Smith was declared brain-dead after experiencing severe headaches and developing blood clots in her brain, but hospital officials told her family they could not remove life support due to Georgia's abortion law that bans the procedure after cardiac activity is detected around six weeks.

  • Georgia's Living Infants Fairness and Equality Act, dubbed the "heartbeat law," was signed by Republican Governor Brian Kemp in 2019 and went into effect in July 2022 after the Supreme Court overturned Roe v. Wade. The law bans most abortions after six weeks of pregnancy with limited exceptions for medical emergencies, rape, or incest cases.


The Spin

Democratic narrative

After years of GOP attacks on abortion, Roe’s fall let states like Georgia impose sweeping bans with no room for nuance. Now, a brain-dead woman has been forced to gestate for months, with her family lacking any say in the matter. This cruel outcome was foreseeable — a product of laws valuing fetal life over a woman's, even in death.

Republican narrative

While this tragic case has nothing to do with Georgia's abortion law, the birth of this baby boy is a silver lining. Although they didn't have to, the hospital, potentially with the quiet support of Smith's family, allowed a new life to enter the world, offering hope after months of sadness.

Nerd narrative

There is a 15% chance that elective abortion will be banned nationally in the United States before 2030, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

See sources

NYC Comptroller Lander Arrested, Released by ICE

The Facts

  • Democratic New York City Comptroller and mayoral candidate Brad Lander on Tuesday was arrested by U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) agents while escorting a defendant out of immigration court in Manhattan. He was released after a few hours.

  • The Department of Homeland Security (DHS) announced that Lander, who was making his third visit to observe immigration proceedings this month, was detained for allegedly "assaulting law enforcement and impeding a federal officer." DHS added that if anyone puts a hand on a law enforcement officer they "will face consequences."

  • The immigrant Lander was accompanying was arrested. Meanwhile, New York Gov. Kathy Hochul said the charges against Lander were dropped, though the U.S. attorney's office said an investigation of his actions was still ongoing.


The Spin

Democratic narrative

This was another case of dangerous government overreach and authoritarian intimidation. Federal agents continue to violate basic constitutional rights, this time by detaining an elected official who simply asked to see a judicial warrant. The Trump administration is weaponizing ICE to silence anyone who dares question its immigration enforcement methods.

Republican narrative

Politicians seeking higher office are undermining law enforcement safety through dangerous political stunts. ICE officers face unprecedented assault rates while Democrats stage viral moments instead of respecting federal authority. No one is above the law, especially when they physically obstruct federal officers performing their duties.

Nerd narrative

There's a 60% chance that the United States will establish a government program rewarding information leading to deportations before Jan. 3, 2027, according to the Metaculus prediction community.

See sources

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