Controversy
Market Watch
Allsides
NBC News
rollcall.com
Yahoo Finance
Metaculus
Chronicle Journal
Coinfomania
Mandy Taheri
Coinpedia
+5
Status:Open

Will the US Federal Goverment Enter a Partial or Total Shutdown in 2026?

UNLIKELYLIKELY

Claims

Yahoo Finance
Yahoo Finance"The government appears just days away from a shutdown."Jan 26, 2026
Coinfomania
Coinfomania"Polymarket data now signals that a U.S. government shutdown will likely not happen on January 31."Apr 28, 2026
rollcall.com
rollcall.com"With the House not in session this week, a partial shutdown appears likely."Jan 26, 2026
NBC News
NBC News"A partial shutdown beginning Saturday now seems increasingly likely."Jan 27, 2026
The Economic Times
The Economic Times"The US government is just a few days away from another shutdown."Jan 28, 2026
CNBC
CNBC"Chances for a partial shutdown of the U.S. government by the end of this week grew Sunday."Jan 26, 2026
Market Watch
Market Watch"Expectations for a U.S. government shutdown spiked over the weekend, with betters putting as much as an 82% chance on it happening by Jan. 31."Apr 28, 2026
Chronicle Journal
Chronicle Journal"The probability of a U.S. government shutdown has plummeted to just 11%."Jan 24, 2026
Mandy Taheri
Mandy Taheri"Two major prediction markets putting the chances at about 75 percent."Jan 25, 2026
Allsides
Allsides"Prediction market traders place odds of government shutting down at 80%."Jan 27, 2026
Coinpedia
Coinpedia"Prediction markets [are] now showing a 26% chance of a U.S. government shutdown in January."Jan 03, 2026
AILA
AILAFunding for DHS, DOL, DOS, and other agencies is set to expire on January 30, 2026. This may lead to a partial government shutdown on January 31, 2026.Apr 28, 2026
Business Insider
Business Insider"There's a chance that a prolonged shutdown will be avoided."Jan 29, 2026
© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 7.5.0

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 7.5.0