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Will the Eurozone Achieve at Least 1.2% GDP Growth in 2026?

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Last Updated 7 hours ago

ING Think"Eurozone growth is set to slow to 1.1% in 2026 from 1.4% in 2025, before an expected rebound to 1.6% in 2027, even as the quarterly pace is expected to improve towards the end of 2026."Jul 28, 2026

Think

OECD"GDP growth is projected to slow from 1.4% in 2025 to 0.8% in 2026, before picking up to 1.2% in 2027 as domestic demand and trade growth strengthen."Jul 28, 2026

Oecd

European Central Bank"Respondents expected real GDP growth of 1.2% in 2026,1.4% in 2027 and 1.3% in 2028."Feb 06, 2026

European Central Bank

Ernst & Young"However, headline GDP growth is projected to slow to 1.3% in 2026 (from 1.5% in 2025), largely due to a normalization in Ireland after an outsized 2025 boost."Mar 03, 2026

Goldman Sachs"We forecast Euro area growth of 1.3% this year with 1.4% on a Q4/Q4 basis (up slightly from last year’s pace of 1.3%) but broadly similar to the consensus."Jan 05, 2026

Gspublishing

BusinessEurope"We project EU GDP growth at 1.2% in 2026, a downward revision of 0.1 pp compared with our Fall 2025 outlook."Jun 17, 2026

BusinessEurope

Polymarket"There is a 15% chance that Eurozone Annual GDP Growth will be between 1.0-2.0% in 2026."Jun 18, 2026

Polymarket

Allianz Trade"GDP growth is expected at +1.1% in 2026 after +1.4% in 2025."Jul 15, 2026

Allianz-Trade

S&P Global"We forecast GDP growth of 1% in both the eurozone and the U.K. this year, compared with 1.2% and 1.4% respectively in our previous exercise."Jul 28, 2026

Spglobal

IMF"Growth is projected at 0.9 percent in 2026 and 1.2 percent in 2027— 0.5 and 0.2 percentage points below pre-war estimates — while headline inflation is projected at 2.9 percent in 2026 and 2.3 percent in 2027."Jul 28, 2026

Imf

European Comission"The euro area is expected to mirror this trend, with real GDP projected to grow by 1.3% in 2025, 1.2% in 2026, and 1.4% in 2027."Jul 28, 2026

Europa

Fitch Ratings"U.S. growth is projected at 1.8% in 2025 and 1.9% in 2026, with eurozone growth at 1.4% and 1.3%, respectively."Jul 28, 2026

Fitchratings

BNP Paribas"Slightly faster growth is expected in the United States and the eurozone, with growth rates of 2.9% and 1.6% respectively."Jul 28, 2026

Bnpparibas

Deloitte"The eurozone economy is projected to grow by around 1.1% in 2026, supported by relatively resilient household demand and continued public investment support."Jun 23, 2026