Controversy

Status:Open

Will Likud Win the Most Seats in Israel's 2026 Parliamentary Election?

Discuss on

UNLIKELYLIKELY

Claims

Last Updated 7 hours ago

Globes Israel"In all polls, Likud maintains its position as the largest party, and on average it wins 24 seats, unchanged in recent weeks."Jul 20, 2026

Globes

Manifold"There is a 36% chance that Likud party will win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli elections."Jul 17, 2026

Manifold

I24News"According to the survey data, the Likud party maintains its strength as the largest party in Israel and shows a stable figure of 29 seats. Right after it, in second place, is the Yashar party led by Gadi Eisenkot, which climbed to 21 seats."Jul 14, 2026

i24NEWS

Channel 13 (Israel)"According to the Channel 13 survey, Eisenkot’s Yashar party would win 21 seats, second only to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud at 22 seats as the largest party."Jul 20, 2026

Timesofisrael

Kan News"A new poll by Kan News says Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar party has become the largest party with a projected 24 seats, ahead of the Likud with 23."Jul 20, 2026

I24

Statista"According to a political poll conducted in Israel on July 12, 2026, Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud party would have won 24 of the Knesset’s 120 seats if an election had been held that day."Jul 15, 2026

Statista

Polymarket"There is a 30% chance that Likud will win 25-29 in Israeli elections."Jun 18, 2026

Polymarket

Maariv"The poll found that Netanyahu's Likud is losing seats and is tied for first place with Yashar, with both at 22 mandates."Jul 17, 2026

Jerusalem Post

Arab Center Washington DC"In an average of all mainstream polls, Yashar is now level with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud party at 22 seats, making Eisenkot’s party not only the largest opposition grouping, but potentially the party with the most support nationwide."Jul 15, 2026

Arab Center Washington DC

The Economist"Our tracker of election polls suggests Likud will probably remain the largest party."Jul 20, 2026

Economist

Channel 12 (Israel)"The [Channel 12] poll found that Eisenkot’s Yashar would win the most seats, 23, followed by Netanyahu’s Likud at 22."Jul 20, 2026

Timesofisrael

Channel 14 (Israel)"Channel 14’s Filber polls, meanwhile, have consistently produced a substantially stronger result for Netanyahu’s camp. One mid-July survey gave Likud 33 seats and Yashar 21."Jul 19, 2026