Controversy
Status:Open

Will EUR/USD Sit at or Above 1.20 at the End of 2026?

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Claims

BNP Paribas
BNP Paribas"We forecast EUR/USD to reach 1.21 by Q4 2026 and 1.25 by Q4 2027."Aug 13, 2026
Goldman Sachs
Goldman Sachs"We are revising our forecasts for EUR/USD to 1.14, 1.12 and 1.12 in 3, 6 and 12 months."Jul 07, 2026
MUFG Bank
MUFG Bank“MUFG forecasts EUR/USD at 1.16 in Q4 2026 and does not expect it to reach 1.20 until Q2 2027.”Aug 14, 2026
UBS Global Wealth Management
UBS Global Wealth Management"We continue to see EURUSD at 1.20 in the second half of 2026, supported by European fiscal measures that should bolster both the economy and the currency."Aug 14, 2026
JPMorgan
JPMorgan"EUR/USD is predicted to reach 1.17 in June [2026], 1.15 in September [2026], 1.14 in December [2026], and 1.13 in March [2027]."Jun 16, 2026
Polymarket
Polymarket"There is a 36% chance that EUR/USD will hit 1.20 in 2026."Aug 13, 2026
Rabobank
Rabobank"We have pushed up our 1-month forecast to EUR/USD 1.15 from 1.14 and expect the 1.15-1.16 range to dominate on a 3-to-6-month view."Aug 14, 2026
HSBC
HSBC"[EUR/USD] should be trading closer to 1.1050."Aug 13, 2026
Commerzbank
Commerzbank“12-Feb-26 EUR/USD 1.19 2026 Q1 1.19 Q2 1.20 Q3 1.22 Q4 1.22.”Feb 13, 2026
NAGA Group AG
NAGA Group AG"The 6-month horizon (through December 2026) is exactly what most bank forecasters are targeting with their year-end projections of 1.20–1.25."Aug 10, 2026
Exchange Rates UK
Exchange Rates UK“The Q4 2026 EUR/USD provider range is 1.1199–1.2000, with a consensus forecast of 1.1621.”Aug 14, 2026
Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank"EUR/USD is forecast at 1.20 for December 2026."Jul 12, 2026
ING Think
ING Think“Instead of a year-end 2026 forecast of 1.20, EUR/USD could be struggling to make it much above the 1.16/17 area.”Jan 15, 2026
Itai Smidt
Itai Smidt"LongForecast projects the pair [EUR/USD] sliding to a 1.126 end-July level, 1.089 by September, and 1.075 by December [2026]."Aug 14, 2026
Ultima Markets
Ultima Markets"While near‑term volatility remains possible, the broad trend among major banks points towards a stronger euro and weaker dollar, with impactful forecasts clustering in the 1.20+ range by the latter part of the year."Aug 14, 2026
© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 7.13.0

© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.

All rights reserved.

Version 7.13.0