Controversy

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Status:Open

How Long Will Keir Starmer Be UK's Prime Minister?

Pre-2029Post-2029

Claims

Last Updated 12 hours ago

Keir Starmer"I'm very confident [to remain in charge come 2029]."Jun 25, 2025

George Galloway "I predict that before this year is out, Keir Starmer will be out."Jul 20, 2025

Wes Streeting"Of course [he will be prime minister till 2029]."Jul 03, 2025

MetaculusWhen will Keir Starmer cease to be Leader of the Labour Party?

Lee Harris"He's finished. It's just a matter of time."Jul 20, 2025

The Daily Express"The backlash reveals just how far Starmer has fallen since then. But don't expect Starmer to be ousted."May 03, 2025

The Daily Mail"Sir Keir Starmer will be ousted as Prime Minister within a year, an exclusive poll for The Mail on Sunday has predicted."Feb 24, 2025

Samara Gill"I don't think he will survive a year [as prime minister]."Jul 20, 2025

Sky News"Starmer might have to go in months."Jul 03, 2025

Charlie Rowley"The way things are going, just a year in — I genuinely think he will leave. I think he will be forced out."Jul 04, 2025

John Rentoul"It now seems unlikely that "Cave-man" Starmer will lead Labour into the next election."Jul 20, 2025

Isabel Oakeshott"I suspect he'll be out within 2 years."Jul 20, 2025

Esther McVey"Starmer's days are already numbered."May 05, 2025

John Rees"The writing is on the wall for Starmer, and time may be much shorter than he imagines."Jun 05, 2025