Controversy
Status:Open

Will Euro Area Inflation Exceed 2.5% in 2027?

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Claims

Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank"Deutsche Bank forecasts euro area consumer-price inflation of 2.9% in 2027, as listed in the Belgian Federal Planning Bureau forecast comparison updated 22 September 2026."May 15, 2026
Reuters
Reuters"Reuters poll forecasts euro area consumer-price inflation of 2.4% in 2027, as listed in the Belgian Federal Planning Bureau forecast comparison updated 22 September 2026."May 15, 2026
BNP Paribas
BNP Paribas"BNP Paribas Fortis forecasts euro area consumer-price inflation of 2.6% in 2027, as listed in the Belgian Federal Planning Bureau forecast comparison updated 22 September 2026."May 15, 2026
ING Think
ING Think"ING Research forecasts euro area annual-average headline inflation of 2.5% in 2027."Jan 08, 2019
Consensus Economics
Consensus Economics"Consensus Economics forecasts euro area consumer-price inflation of 2.5% in 2027, according to the Belgian Federal Planning Bureau September 2026 comparison."May 15, 2026
KBC
KBC"KBC forecasts euro area consumer-price inflation of 2.1% in 2027, according to the Belgian Federal Planning Bureau September 2026 comparison."May 15, 2026
National Bank of Belgium
National Bank of Belgium"Belgian Prime News [National Bank of Belgium] forecasts euro area consumer-price inflation of 2.3% in 2027, as listed in the Belgian Federal Planning Bureau forecast comparison updated 22 September 2026."May 15, 2026
European Central Bank
European Central Bank"Headline inflation was expected to decrease from 2.7% in 2026 to 2.2% in 2027 and 2.0% in 2028 (Table 1), with expectations unrevised for 2026 and 2028 and an upward revision of 0.1 percentage points for 2027."Jul 24, 2026
Morgan Stanley
Morgan Stanley"Morgan Stanley forecasts euro area consumer-price inflation of 2.5% in 2027, as listed in the Belgian Federal Planning Bureau forecast comparison updated 22 September 2026."May 15, 2026
OECD
OECD"Inflation is anticipated to remain elevated in the euro area in the near-term, partly due to the recent steep increase in gas prices, before easing slightly, falling from 3.0% in 2026 to 2.9% in 2027."Oct 18, 2026
BBVA Research
BBVA Research"BBVA Research forecasts euro area annual-average headline inflation of 1.88% in 2027."Oct 18, 2026
European Commission
European Commission"European Commission forecasts euro area annual-average headline inflation of 2.3% in 2027."May 21, 2026
European Central Bank
European Central Bank"Overall, the baseline projections foresee HICP inflation picking up from 2.1% in 2025 to 3.0% in 2026 and then declining to 2.5% in 2027 and falling further to 2.1% in 2028."Sep 10, 2026
Oxford Economics
Oxford Economics"Oxford Economics forecasts euro area consumer-price inflation of 2.2% in 2027, as listed in the Belgian Federal Planning Bureau forecast comparison updated 22 September 2026."May 15, 2026
IMF
IMF"Growth is projected at 0.9 percent in 2026 and 1.2 percent in 2027—0.5 and 0.2 percentage points below pre-war estimates—while headline inflation is projected at 2.9 percent in 2026 and 2.3 percent in 2027."Jul 16, 2026
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All rights reserved.

Version 8.0.0