Claims
San Francisco Chronicle"These extremely high temperatures will continue through 2027, which will almost certainly be the warmest year ever recorded."Aug 23, 2026
ClimateData"A very strong El Niño in 2026-27 makes it highly likely that 2027 will become the hottest year on record."Sep 14, 2026
Zeke Hausfather"It is increasingly likely that 2026 ends up beating 2024 as the warmest year on record, and almost certain that 2027 beats both, potentially reaching as high as 1.8 C above pre-industrial levels on the back of an unprecedentedly-strong El Niño event."Sep 10, 2026
Ben Noll"2027 has even higher odds of becoming the warmest year on record: The latest projections show nearly an 83 % chance."Jun 13, 2026
Gavin A. Schmidt"2027, on the other hand, is going to blow apart the record for the warmest year."Aug 12, 2026
Adam Scaife"2027 is very likely to replace 2024 as the warmest year on record and be another year to temporarily exceed plus 1.5C above the pre-industrial period.”Aug 24, 2026
Karin Bumbaco“Because we’re shifting into an El Niño pattern again this winter, it makes it that much more likely that 2027 will push those records again.”Aug 15, 2026
Time Magazine"The warmer oceans, coupled with already record warming due to climate change, means that 2027 could shape up to be the warmest year on record. "Sep 12, 2026
David Phillips"When they stick that thermometer in to find out what the temperature is, they'll say, 'Eureka, 2027 was the warmest year on record globally,' both in the atmosphere and in the oceans."Sep 07, 2026
Bill McGuire“The addition of much of this heat to the atmosphere will make it extremely likely that next year will be the hottest on record globally, perhaps even reaching – even exceeding – 1.7C above preindustrial times.”Aug 21, 2026
The AI Chronicle"The predicted return of the El Niño phenomenon, coupled with the relentless rise in greenhouse gas concentrations, is expected to make 2027 the hottest year ever recorded in human history."May 08, 2026
Jeff Berardelli"2027 will almost certainly be the warmest year on record for Earth - by a long shot - and perhaps even 2026 may reach a record too."May 03, 2026
Zeke Hausfather"2027, by contrast, is likely (~85% chance) to be the warmest year on record and has a 88% chance to be above 1.5C."Sep 14, 2026
Liz Stephens“Given the amount of heat that the equatorial Pacific Ocean is releasing to the atmosphere, El Nino is adding to the overall climate change direction of travel, so 2027 is set to be the warmest year on record.”Sep 14, 2026
EGUsphere"The +1.5 °C Paris Agreement threshold is highly likely to be surpassed for several months, leading to high chances that 2027 ends up as the warmest year ever recorded since instrumental records began."Sep 07, 2026
Zeke Hausfather"Taking 2026 and 2027 together, there is a 93% chance that at least one of the two years sets a new record."Jul 24, 2026
Climatecentre“There is an El Niño predicted for the end of 2026, which increases the chances of [2027] being the next record-breaking year.”Sep 01, 2026
© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 8.0.0
© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.
All rights reserved.
Version 8.0.0