Claims
Mollie Hemingway"I don’t have inside information, but I would not put it outside the realm of possibility that there might be a retirement at the end of this term.”Apr 20, 2026
Tuoliutuoxiaoji"Prediction markets and legal scholars are closely watching key indicators: the probability of Justice Thomas retiring (currently 35% by end of 2026)."Jul 05, 2026
ABC News"Alito, 76, has been hiring clerks for next term and intends to continue serving into at least 2027."Apr 18, 2026
Federal News Network"If the Democrats control the Senate, it is a question as to whether a SCOTUS vacancy will be filled during Trump’s final two years. "Apr 20, 2026
Werner Zagrebbi"The market is implicitly pricing ~18% chance of a 2026 vacancy created by someone other than Alito."Jul 10, 2026
Lines“NO price: $0.63, implying a 62.5% probability the court remains unchanged through year end.”Aug 04, 2026
CBS News"That indicates that this year, with the midterm elections on the horizon, President Trump will not be able to plan on an opportunity to make his fourth nomination to the Supreme Court."Apr 18, 2026
Josh Hammer"I am simply saying that if you are being as risk-averse and cautious as possible, that this is as good a time as any for one of, potentially both of them, to step down."Aug 03, 2026
John Yoo"I would be utterly shocked and speechless if Justice Thomas were to retire this year."Aug 03, 2026
John Yoo"The window for Trump to nominate a Supreme Court justice - or any federal judge - with a friendly Republican Senate could be closing by the end of this year."Aug 03, 2026
© 2026 Improve the News Foundation. All rights reserved.Version 7.7.3
© 2026 Improve the News Foundation.
All rights reserved.
Version 7.7.3