Trump's "Liberation Day" tariffs have ignited widespread global economic turmoil, prompting JP Morgan to raise the likelihood of a recession to 60%. These aggressive measures jeopardize decades of free trade progress, risking a global stagflation crisis. This ill-conceived decision has disrupted supply chains, driven up consumer prices, and wiped out trillions in market value.
While pessimists predict disaster, Trump's tariffs can trigger "expansionary uncertainty" in competitive markets. Unlike traditional assumptions, businesses aren't stagnating — they're racing to adapt by reshoring production and rebuilding supply chains. This short-term turbulence is a necessary process that will ultimately yield extraordinary growth as manufacturing revives and trade relationships are recalibrated.