US Egg Prices Up 70% From a Year Ago

Image copyright: AP [via CNN]

The Spin

Republican narrative

By not waiting for the CPI numbers to come out, or at least talking to average Americans, Biden spoke too soon at his State of the Union address when he said that "inflation is coming down." Food, energy, and housing prices — the economic trends regular people care about most — are destroying the budgets of the very same people the president is gaslighting into supporting him. The government's predictions, and therefore its policies, are having the opposite effect to what was promised.

Democratic narrative

One's reaction to this report depends on the statistical model they use. As Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has mentioned and accounted for, housing makes up the bulk of inflation, which skews the data in and of itself. Likewise, the CPI calculation summarizes average pricing from the past six months, but when compared to other industry analyses that look at more recent data, inflation is still going down, even more than it appears when adjusting for housing costs.

Metaculus Prediction


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