Ukraine Claims Liberation of Four Towns, Territorial Gains

Image copyright: [via Ukraine's defense ministry]

The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

Early into its counteroffensive, Ukraine has made small but promising gains, moving the front lines deeper into Russian territory across a number of fronts. Nevertheless, despite the early victories, the long-term success of any Ukrainian counteroffensive is yet far from certain.

Pro-Russia narrative

As before, Ukrainian forces continued to launch multiple attacks on Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia. However, as before, Russia successfully repelled all attacks and inflicted serious damage on Ukraine's armed forces and military equipment.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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