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Study: World 'Population Bomb' May Never Explode

  • #Indonesia
  • #India
  • #China
  • #Headlines
story
MAR 2023
Image copyright: Getty Images [via The Guardian]
story last updated MAR 2023

The Spin

Narrative A

Slowing population growth does not pose an existential threat to the planet. In fact, it brings many economic and environmental benefits to a world struggling with the threat of climate change. A rapidly-growing population just creates more pressure on the natural environment and man-made infrastructure alike.

New York Times

Narrative B

Overpopulation is an overstated problem. We can't solve our climate change or environmental issues by having fewer babies. With fewer people around, who will come up with the next world-bending ideas? Despite popular rhetoric, overpopulation isn't the threat stagnating birth rates — which don't just represent a crisis for a specific country but are an existential threat to the entire planet — are.

Washington Post

Narrative C

More than half of the global population increase between now and 2100 will occur in low- or lower-middle-income countries. We can’t expect those countries to make the necessary investments to provide for their growing populations. It’s up to the rest of the world to bridge wealth inequality between the global haves and have-nots to make sure marginalized countries can provide their populations with a good quality of life. While there might not be a global population bomb, there will certainly be a global population imbalance.

UN GENEVA

Metaculus Prediction


Articles on this story

World population expected to be over 7.9 billion on New Year's Day, U.S. Census Bureau projects
CBSJUL 2022
World population expected to increase to more than 7.9 billion on New Year’s Day; nearly 1% uptick from 2022
FOX NewsJUL 2022
Pope Francis calls on Italy to boost birth rates as Europe weathers a "demographic winter"
CBSJUL 2023
Italy is trying to deal with its demographic decline
EconomistJUL 2022
‘Vanishing like glaciers’: plunging birthrate threatens Italian schools
GuardianJUL 2023
Pope says only rich can afford to have children in Italy
New York PostJUL 2023