Reports: Russia Withdraws Black Sea Fleet From Crimea

Image copyright: [via Wikimedia Commons]

The Spin

Pro-Ukraine narrative

Reports of Russia's fleet retreats from Crimea are the latest setback for Putin as it shows that Ukraine is winning the battle for the Black Sea. The feat is even more remarkable given that Ukraine doesn't have a functioning navy but has carried out attacks using domestically manufactured sea drones and commando raids.

Pro-Russia narrative

The news of the demilitarization of the Russian Black Sea fleet is just Western propaganda. Moscow doesn't comment on the positions and possible transfers of personnel and equipment of its defense ministry, as the revelations would put both assets and personnel at risk of attack.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

PRO

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