North Dakota Gov. Burgum Enters 2024 GOP Presidential Race

Image copyright: US Air National Guard [via Wikimedia Commons]

The Spin

Narrative A

Though Gov. Doug Burgum is running on a back-to-basics pro-business platform to pull the GOP away from culture wars, it's very unlikely that his campaign will influence the race — let alone be a winning strategy. Republicans have mostly been supportive of culture wars, with culture warriors even leading the race for the North Dakota GOP leadership.

Narrative B

While most Republicans may have never heard of Burgum before he launched his campaign, he could emerge as the main alternative to Trump and DeSantis in the race for the GOP 2024 presidential nomination due to his deep pockets. Just like he did in his unexpected 2016 North Dakota GOP primary victory, he is expected to pump millions of dollars into his own campaign.

Metaculus Prediction


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