N. Korea Fires Ballistic Missiles After Protesting US Drills

Image copyright: EPA [via The Guardian]

The Facts

  • South Korea's Joint Chiefs of Staff stated the North launched two short-range ballistic missiles (SBRMs) into the sea off its east coast on Monday, after Pyongyang protested joint military drills by the US and South Korea.

  • The two SRBMs were reportedly fired from the southern Chunghwa area at about 7:47 a.m. local time and flew about 220 miles (350 km). They reached a maximum altitude of about 50 km before landing outside Japan's exclusive economic zone, according to the Defense Ministry in Tokyo.


The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

These tests are a continuation of North Korea’s unpredictability and repeated threats, which have put the stability of the region at risk. Extended deterrence by the US and South Korea is the only option until Kim is willing to return to the negotiating table.

Establishment-critical narrative

The US can’t deny that it bears the main responsibility for declining diplomatic relations with North Korea, especially as the Biden administration has switched back to a confrontational course following former Pres. Trump's efforts at de-escalation. By fueling conflict, the US hopes to establish closer ties with Japan and South Korea to cut into China’s regional influence.

Nerd narrative

There's a 37% chance that North Korea will possess enough fissile material to make at least 100 warheads before 2024, according to the Metaculus prediction community.


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