GOP Nominates Steve Scalise for House Speaker

GOP Nominates Steve Scalise for House Speaker
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The Spin

Republican narrative

It's time now to proceed. 217 votes must be either found in favor of Scalise, or Patrick McHenry (R-N.C.) must be given the appropriate powers to run the House in the short term. The situations concerning Israel, Ukraine, and a federal shutdown must be addressed — there seems to be a path forward now for the next chapter of GOP-led House leadership.

Democratic narrative

Despite Scalise's nomination, Republicans in the chamber are in fact bitterly divided and the Louisiana lawmaker's power seems to have already been undermined by a lack of party consensus. With the pro-Jordan faction potentially refusing to accept defeat, Americans may be in for a repeat of the chaos of January. The GOP needs to figure this out with so many simmering crises.

Metaculus Prediction


Political split

LEFT

RIGHT

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