Day 380: Wagner Taking 'Operational Pause' in Bakhmut, US Think Tank Says

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The Spin

Pro-establishment narrative

In leading Russia's charge of Bakhmut, Wagner boss Yevgeny Prigozhin has risen to great heights. While his success may bring him a certain level of protection, the higher he ascends and seemingly challenges the authority of Russian Pres. Putin, the harder he may fall. Putin has a history of sidelining political rivals.

Pro-Russia narrative

Russian volunteer groups including Wagner continue to make progress in Bakhmut. This simply would not be possible if they did not have sufficient ammunition. Hence, these allegations are false. Attempts to drive a wedge between Wagner and the Russian military are distractions that only help the enemy.

Metaculus Prediction


Establishment split

CRITICAL

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