UK House Prices Could Fall 20% Amid Volatile Response to Mini-Budget

Image copyright: In Pictures/Getty Images [via CNBC]

The Spin

Left narrative

The current economic crisis is the result of a broken model of capitalism, whereby ultra-low interest rates were relied upon to compensate for the anemic growth under austerity politics. Truss and Kwarteng have blindly pursued a Thatcherite economic agenda that has ruined a system already made fragile by deindustrialization, privatization, and, fundamentally, more than four decades of class war.

Right narrative

The government is facing criticism for failing to explain how it will balance the books — something that will be put out in a medium-term strategy statement in November. There is no feasible way to detail this plan earlier as it will depend on too many currently unknown variables. Although the markets may not like uncertainty in the short-term, Truss is right to stand by her tax-cut and growth plan and look forward to a fiscal consolidation program in two months' time.

Metaculus Prediction


Political split

LEFT

RIGHT

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