US Military: Planning Underway for Pelosi's Potential Taiwan Visit

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    The Spin

    Pro-China narrative

    If Pelosi's visit to Taiwan eventually happens, it would not be a miscalculation but an intentional provocation by the US. The US does not formally have any diplomatic relations with Taipei, but they do have formal diplomatic relations with China, and a visit to Taiwan would contradict the One China Policy and threaten PRC sovereignty.

    Anti-China narrative

    As a global champion of democracy and human rights, it is only right that the US should support Taiwan and its democratic government. Any tension or military conflict caused by a visit by Speaker Pelosi to the island would be an outlandish escalation on China's part.

    Metaculus Prediction


    Establishment split

    CRITICAL

    PRO

    More neutral establishment stance articles

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